FDI Certainty List .


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FDI Confidence Index The Global Business Policy Council ... FDI Confidence Index The Global Business Policy Council. Developing markets will probably ...
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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council FDI Confidence Index ® 2003 Press Slides September 2003

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council Global FDI streams have fallen underneath 1998 levels Global FDI Flows (US$ billions) $1.4 trillion 41% $824 billion 21% $651 billion Source: UNCTAD

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council Advanced nations have encountered the most keen drop in FDI inflows 2001-2002 Industrialized nations -22% Emerging/Transitioning markets -19% Global FDI Flows (US$ billions) Source: UNCTAD

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council Industrialized versus creating markets % of Global FDI Flows Share of Global FDI to Developed Countries Share of Global FDI to Emerging/Transitioning Markets Source: UNCTAD

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council Most appealing FDI destinations 2003 FDI Confidence Index 2003, main 25 China United States Mexico Poland Germany India United Kingdom Russia Brazil Spain France Italy Czech Republic Canada Japan Thailand Hungary South Korea Australia Taiwan Vietnam Hong Kong Malaysia Turkey Indonesia (1) (2) (9) (11) (4) (15) (3) (17) (13) (7) (5) (6) (14) (8) (12) (20) (16) (21) (10) (24) (33) (18) (42) (29) (31) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 ( )= 2002 Low Confidence High Confidence Source: A.T. Kearney Values Calculated on a 0 to 3 Scale

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council Investor point of view toward the worldwide economy Percentage change in standpoint contrasted with a year back Positive change in viewpoint Negative change in standpoint September 2003 February 2001 October 2001* September 2002 June 1999 January 2000 *Post-September 11 FDI Flash Survey Source: A.T. Kearney

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council Global advancements destined to impact FDI choices Source: A.T. Kearney

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council Investor Preference for M&A as FDI method of section Percentage Growth Percentage of financial specialists who lean toward M&A Source: A.T. Kearney, KPMG, UNCTAD

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council Planned Investment Increases/Decreases Percentage of worldwide speculators with Planned Investment Increases/Decreases Source: A.T. Kearney

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council Global financial specialists are more pulled in to chose developing markets More alluring * Less appealing Maintained positioning Source: A.T. Kearney * More/less alluring in view of climbing/down in the Index

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council Emerging markets will probably pick up a more prominent offer of first-time ventures Regional offer of aggregate arranged first-time speculations Russia Poland Rest of Eastern Europe China Vietnam Rest of district India Turkey Rest of Asia-Pacific Rest of area Western Europe Mexico Brazil Europe Asia Pacific Africa, Near and Middle East North America Latin America Source: A.T. Kearney

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council Services will probably rule corporate off-shoring exercises throughout the following three years Allocation of chose seaward exercises Source: A.T. Kearney

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council U.S. versus China venture allure Percentage distinction in FDI Index score between the U.S. also, China Source: A.T. Kearney

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council Factors well on the way to affect the allure of the U.S. market throughout the following one to three years Source: A.T. Kearney (Percentage of aggregate respondents)

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council The Eastern European "little tigers" are relied upon to increase critical first-time speculations Global assignment of first-time ventures Slovenia, Romania, the Baltic States, Croatia, and Serbia 10% Russia 9% Poland 5% Rest of Eastern Europe 8% Source: A.T. Kearney

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council China\'s lead regardless, Mexico and Brazil score well with substantial assembling speculators Top 10 most appealing venture destinations for Heavy Manufacturing segment, 2003 FDI Index Score Heavy Manufacturing part Highly Attractive (1) (2) (5) (7) (3) (8) (11) (16) (17) (13) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 China United States Mexico Brazil Germany India Poland Russia Thailand Japan June 1999 Jan 2000 Feb 2001 Sept 2002 Sept 2003 () = 2002 Least Attractive Source: A.T. Kearney

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council Asia has overwhelmed both Latin America and Europe as a territorial FDI destination Global Investors FDI Index Score Highly Attractive Asia surpasses Europe Latin America falls behind Asia Least Attractive Sept 2002 Sept 2003 June 1999 Feb 2001 Jan 2000 Dec 1998 Source: A.T. Kearney

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council China\'s lead over most developing business sector destinations has reinforced Percentage probability of putting resources into China over these different markets (rate distinction in FDI Index scores) Source: A.T. Kearney

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council China has likewise made advances against major created nations China\'s relative engaging quality against created nations (contrast in FDI Index scores) China more alluring China less appealing Sept 2002 Dec 1998 June 1999 Jan 2000 Sept 2003 Feb 2001 Source: A.T. Kearney

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council FDI Confidence Index 2003, Asian Investors (1) (2) (4) (14) (3) (15) (32) (5) (8) (6) (13) (11) (16) (9) (7) (10) (18) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Low certainty High certainty ( )= 2002 Regional monetary dynamism fills Asian speculator bullishness Asian financial specialists are most hopeful on the worldwide economy Intra-building up Asia\'s offer of worldwide exchange (ex-Japan) Percentage offer of worldwide exchange 1990 2001 Source: A.T. Kearney, WTO World Trade Report 2003

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council The Emerging Giants – China, Brazil, Mexico, India, and Poland The Emerging Giants get an extensive offer of FDI streaming to the creating scene Thirteen characteristics impacting FDI choices were benchmarked over these business sectors Market Size Market Growth/Potential Production/Labor Costs Access to Export Markets Competitor Presence Availability of M&A Targets Financial/Economic Stability Political/Social Stability Tax Regime Infrastructure Transparency Highly Educated Workforce Quality of Life 2002 Source: A.T. Kearney

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council China shows a near favorable position crosswise over most FDI allure traits Relative engaging quality of different markets for chose properties (weighted score of nation rankings) Source: A.T. Kearney

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council Poland takes second position behind China Relative engaging quality of different markets for chose characteristics (weighted score of nation rankings) Source: A.T. Kearney

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council India\'s similar favorable position lies in business sector development, expenses, and instruction Relative engaging quality of different markets for chose properties (weighted score of nation rankings) Source: A.T. Kearney

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council Yet, India shows shortcoming in a few key classes Relative engaging quality of different markets for chose properties (weighted score of nation rankings) Source: A.T. Kearney

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council Mexico and Brazil are less focused as far as instruction and generation/work costs as FDI destinations Relative engaging quality of different markets for chose characteristics (weighted score of nation rankings) Source: A.T. Kearney

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council Mexico and Brazil are perceived for alluring frameworks, straightforwardness, and access to fare markets Relative appeal of different markets for chose properties (weighted score of nation rankings) Source: A.T. Kearney

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council Relative steadiness among huge developing markets Relative engaging quality of different markets for chose properties (weighted score of nation rankings) Source: A.T. Kearney

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council Relative danger profiles among enormous developing markets Percentage of worldwide speculators that positioned nations for High, Medium, and Low Risk Brazil China India Mexico Poland Source: A.T. Kearney

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council Meeting benefit targets? In the event that contributed, are benefit targets met? Source: A.T. Kearney

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council The most basic dangers to firm operations (Percentage among main five) Source: A.T. Kearney

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FDI Confidence Index ® The Global Business Policy Council Risk administration activities Source: A.T. Kea

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