National Climate Administration Climate Gauge Office Focal Pacific Sea tempest Center Honolulu, Hawaii.


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Focal Pacific Hurricane Center. Focal Pacific 140W to 180 north of Equator ... Issued 4 times day by day amid typhoon season June 1 through November 30 ...
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National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu, Hawaii Raymond Tanabe Warning Coordination Meteorologist

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NOAA NWS Pacific Region Pacific Region Headquarters Pacific Tsunami Warning Center CPHC/Weather Forecast Office (WFO) Honolulu (Co-situated at UH-Manoa) 2 Data Collection Offices (Hilo and Lihue) WFO Guam

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CPHC/Weather Forecast Office (Largest Forecast Office in U.S.) 5 Management Staff (4 Meteorologists) 20 Meteorologists 4 Hydro-meteorological Technicians 1 Meteorologist Intern 3 Electronics Technicians 2 Contract Information Technologists 1 International Pacific Training Desk Trainer 3 Pacific ENSO Application Center Personnel

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Local Forecast Office Programs Hawaii - Watches, Warnings, Advisories, and Forecasts Public - Day to day Aviation - 11 Airport Forecasts Satellite - Tropical Weather Outlooks Hydrology - Flash Flooding, Drought Marine - Winds, Waves, Seas, Surf, Rip Tides Climate - El Nino/La Nina Impacts Fire Weather - Wildfires, HAZMAT Winter Weather - Yes it snows in Hawaii Severe Weather – Thunderstorms, Tornadoes, Hail

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Regional Forecast Programs Central Pacific Hurricane Center Central Pacific 140W to 180 north of Equator UN World Meteorological Organization Recognized Regional Specialized Meteorological Center for Central Pacific Marine High Seas Forecast (N and S Pacific) Aviation Advisories of Significant Weather for Aircraft Climate – Pacific ENSO Application Center

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Tropical Cyclones - Hurricane Iniki, Sep 11, 1992 4 to 5 tropical violent winds (TD, TS, Hcn) every year in the Central Pacific Direct hits uncommon… however crushing 3 in most recent 50 years Dot (1959), Iwa (1982), Iniki (1992)

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Terminology Tropical Cyclone: Generic term. Incorporates Tropical Depressions, Tropical Storms, and Hurricanes. Tropical Depression: Winds of 38 mph or less. Alloted a number (e.g., TD-01C) Tropical Storm: Winds of 39 to 73 mph. Relegated a name. Tropical storm: Winds of 74 mph or higher. Five Categories. Classification 5 >155mph

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Central Pacific Tropical Cyclone Season: June 1 to November 30 Tropical Cyclones can happen in any month Central Pacific Average every Year 4-5 Tropical Cyclones 1971 to 2008: 163 Tropical Cyclones 36% Hurricanes, 28% Tropical Storms, 36% Tropical Depressions

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Central Pacific Hurricanes 40-Year Track History

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Recipe for Tropical Cyclones Sea Surface Temperatures 80°F (26.5°C) over a substantial region Weak Vertical Wind Shear Low Level Disturbance Region of upper level dissimilarity/outpouring

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Sea-Surface Temperature Climatology

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Ocean Heat Content (OHC) Warm water (fuel) is regularly not exactly at the surface

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Recipe for Tropical Cyclones Sea Surface Temperatures 80°F (26.5°C) over a huge region Weak Vertical Wind Shear Low Level Disturbance Region of upper level difference/surge

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Effect of Vertical Wind Shear 40,000 ft/200 mb H Typical cruising elevation of business plane Heat 5,000 ft/850 mb L Surface

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Recipe for Tropical Cyclones Sea Surface Temperatures 80°F (26.5°C) over a huge territory Weak Vertical Wind Shear Low Level Disturbance Region of upper level disparity/outpouring

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Recipe for Tropical Cyclones Sea Surface Temperatures 80°F (26.5°C) over a vast zone Weak Vertical Wind Shear Low Level Disturbance Region of upper level uniqueness/outpouring

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Divergence = Exhaust

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Tropical Cyclone Impacts Extreme wind conditions Iniki: wind blasts more noteworthy that 150 mph Iwa: wind blasts more prominent that 120 mph Flash Flooding Iniki: 8 to 10 inches over brief time allotment TD 1-C: 14+ inches upslope of Hilo Storm Surge, High surf Iniki: 30 to 35 ft surf on Kauai, high water marks up to 25 ft, 3 to 4 ft storm surge Estelle: 10 to 20 ft surf despite the fact that nearest entry was 120 nm south of Big Island.

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Central Pacific Hurricane Center Text Products Tropical Weather Outlook Tropical Cyclone Discussion Tropical Cyclone Forecast/Advisory Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory Tropical Cyclone Local Statements

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Central Pacific Hurricane Center Tropical Weather Outlook Issued 4 times day by day amid sea tempest season – June 1 through November 30 4 AM, 10 AM, 4 PM, 10 PM HST The Tropical Weather Outlook gives an outline of conceivable or foreseen tropical typhoon improvement and different regions of interest Can give you a few days "heads up" before a tropical violent wind really creates

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Central Pacific Hurricane Center Tropical Weather Outlook TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 400 AM HST TUE JUN 8 2004 FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. $$

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Central Pacific Hurricane Center Tropical Weather Outlook TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST FRI MAY 11 2007 FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180 A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

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Tropical Cyclone Products Once a tropical violent wind forms or moves into the Central North Pacific, Tropical Discussions, Public Advisories, and Forecast/Advisories are issued at consistently planned times 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, 11 PM For tempests that are relied upon to stay over water and not influence any area ranges, these three are the main items issued For tropical twister that are required to effect land zones, position gauges, transitional advisories, and nearby proclamations are likewise issued.

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Central Pacific Hurricane Center Tropical Cyclone Discussion Explain the forecaster\'s thinking behind the examination and gauge of the tropical tornado Assess certainty or vulnerability Reason for change in track or force conjecture Plans for watches and notices

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Central Pacific Hurricane Center Tropical Cyclone Discussion OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS...TWO-C HAS STARTED TO SHOW SIGNS OF BETTER ORGANIZATION . WIND RADII WERE ALSO EXPANDED PRIMARILY THROUGH 36 HOURS IN RESPONSE TO THE INCREASED IN INTENSITY AND QUIKSCAT DATA. THE FORECAST TRACK OF TWO-C HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SOUTHWARD OR TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK... THE FORECAST INTENSITY WAS INCREASED THROUGH 36 HOURS IN RESPONSE TO THE INCREASE IN INITIAL INTENSITY. ITS PROJECTED PATH KEEPS TWO-C OVER WATER AND AWAY FROM ANY MAJOR PACIFIC ISLANDS. THE SOUTHWARD ADJUSTMENT OF THE FORECAST TRACK AFTER 36 HOURS ALSO PLACES TWO-C FURTHER AWAY FROM JOHNSTON ISLAND.

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Central Pacific Hurricane Center Forecast/Advisory Short Term Section (days 1-3) Current position and development Forecast focus positions Maximum wind velocity and blasts in tangles 34, 50, and 64 tie wind speed radii Extended Outlook Section (days 4-5) Forecast focus positions Maximum wind speed in tangles

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Central Pacific Hurricane Center Forecast/Advisory HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 160.9W AT 09/2100Z. POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM. PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 22 KT. Assessed MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 935 MB. EYE DIAMETER 10 NM. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT........200NE 200SE 200SW 200NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 200SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES

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Central Pacific Hurricane Center Public Advisory Watches or notices basically Highlights most huge conditions Reference to neighborhood proclamations from Civil Defense and NWS Location, development, and power of tropical violent wind Intermediate Advisories Issued at 2 or 3 hour interims when a tropical typhoon influences or is gauge to influence an island Special advisories Issued at whatever time critical changes happen Cancelation of a Hurricane/Tropical tempest Watch or Warning Classification of tropical twister changes A tornado danger develops

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Central Pacific Hurricane Center Public Advisory AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.3 WEST OR ABOUT 875 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. Most extreme SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAINLY THE NORTHERN SIDE OF THE DEPRESSION. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

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Hurricane Local Statements Specific points of interest for district range Watches and/or notices as a result Hurricane/Tropical Storm area, development, and force Significant subtle elements – wind, surf, rain and surge potential, tornado potential Civil Defense departure orders Precautions important to ensure life and property Frequent discharges – each 2 or 3 hours, all the more regularly if fundamental

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Hurricane Local Statements HURRICANE FLOSSIE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1200 AM HST TUE AUG 14 2007 ...AREAS AFFECTED... ...WATCHES WARNINGS... ....STORM INFORMATION... ...Preparatory ACTIONS... ...HIGH SURF AND TIDE IMPACTS... ...WIND IMPACTS... ...FLOODING IMPACTS... ...NEXT UPDATE...

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Central Pacific Hurricane Center Watches and Warnings Hurricane/Tropical Storm Watch Hurricane/Tropical Storm conditions are conceivable inside 48* hours. Typhoon/Tropical Storm Warning Hurricane/Tropical Storm conditions are normal inside 36* hours * Change beginning with 2009 season in Central Pacific.

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Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Graphical sidekick to te

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