Slide1 l.jpg
1 / 52

Boating Trends & the Significance of Demographic Change.


47 views
Uploaded on:
Category: General / Misc
Description
www.srs.fs.fed.us/trends Boating Trends & the Significance of Demographic Change Gary T. Green University of Georgia Ken Cordell U.S. Forest Service, Athens, GA & Becky Stephens University of Tennessee WHAT THIS PRESENTATION COVERS The NSRE & its background
Transcripts
Slide 1

www.srs.fs.fed.us/patterns Boating Trends & the Significance of Demographic Change Gary T. Green University of Georgia Ken Cordell U.S. Backwoods Service, Athens, GA & Becky Stephens University of Tennessee

Slide 2

WHAT THIS PRESENTATION COVERS The NSRE & its experience A diagram of populace development & demographic enhancement American’s ecological qualities Recreation sailing investment & patterns Segmenting the American open & understanding their disparities

Slide 3

HISTORY & CURRENT COVERAGE OF THE NATIONAL RECREATION SURVEY first National Recreation Survey (NRS) 1960 1965, 1972, 1977, 1982, 1995 & 2000-02 National & Regional Demand Assessments Renamed the NSRE Nation’s On-going, Long-term Outdoor Recreation & The Environment Survey

Slide 4

MODULES OF QUESTIONS Participation in Recreational Activities Frequency of Participation in Days Favorite Activities & Constraints Nature-based Trip Taking/Tourism Opinions about Recreation Area Management Environmental Attitudes & Values & Objectives for Management of Public Lands

Slide 5

MODULES OF QUESTIONS Wilderness Values, Knowledge, Visitation, & Management Knowledge, Objectives, Satisfactions with Congressionally Designated Areas Ownership, Uses, Motivations & Plans for Private Land Wildland-Urban Interface Issues & Attitudes Lifestyles, Demographics & Disabilities

Slide 6

LIFESTYLES- - NEW Hobbies or different premiums Chores or planting at home Involvement with family Interest in games Community or city exercises Vacationing and travel Self study and social occasions Exercise

Slide 7

DETAILED HOUSEHOLD & INDIVIDUAL DATA (Employs Bureau of Census Protocols) No. of family individuals by age & sex Citizenship, where conceived & nation of starting point Race & ethnicity, Disabilities Occupation & livelihood status City, country/urban, ZIP Code Childhood beginning Income & instruction

Slide 8

NSRE 80,000 families, Keys to the Artic Wildlife Refuge Non-standardized people 16 & more established Nation’s 8 th on-going diversion review USFS, NOAA, ERS, EPA, NPS, BLM. National Scenic Byways, Wilderness, State Agencies, Bicycle Safety, Pew Wilderness Center, …..

Slide 9

DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE: Know the Trends & Better Anticipate Market Shifts

Slide 11

Our Changing American Society 1 million new legitimate foreigners for each year More individuals : 1990 248 mm 2020 325 mm 2050 404 mm 2100 571 mm Getting more established :Median age 35 38 (2020) Changing ethnicities by 2050: Anglo Americans 76% 50% African Americans 12% 15% Hispanic Americans 9% 21% Asian Americans 4% 11%

Slide 12

Demographic Percentages: 1960 & 2000 Family Income (1998$s) (N.B:45 million U.S. families in 1960,almost 75 million families in 2002) Percentiles 1960 2000 20 th $14,093 $21,600 40 th $24,298 $37,692 60 th $32,215 $56,020 80 th $44,547 $83,693 95 th $68,521 $145,199

Slide 13

Demographic Percentages: 1960 & 2000 Educational Attainment , (Age 25 & Over) Percent Education level 1960 2000 8 th grade or less 37.5 7.4 9-11 th grade 18.5 9.7 High school graduate 27.1 33.8 Some college 9.1 24.7 College degree or higher 7.7 24.4

Slide 14

WHAT AMERICAN’S VALUE ABOUT OUR ENVIRONMENT

Slide 15

Spending on the Environment Too Much 7% Too Little 49% About Right 28% (Don’t Know) (15%)

Slide 16

Humans Were Meant to Rule Over Nature 14% Strongly Agree 15% Somewhat Agree 29% 19% Somewhat Disagree 42% Strongly Disagree 61% (6% Neutral)

Slide 17

Percentages Indicating Environmental Protection or Economic Development are Highest Priority Source: Gallup/CNN/USA Today Poll, April 13-14, 1999.

Slide 18

Source: Roper Organization, 1990; Times Mirror, 1994; NEETF, 1998.

Slide 19

Percentage of Americans Reporting Regulation of Natural Resources is “Just the Right Amount” or has “Not Gone Far Enough.” Source: Dujack, 1997.

Slide 20

LONG-TERM TRENDS

Slide 21

At Present Over 97.6 percent report exercises Most are adding to their recreation menu Living longer means staying active longer

Slide 22

Shifts in Outdoor Recreation Markets Technology innovations are making more territories, more open: - Jet water crafts - Light-weight gear - Sub-zero games clothing - Sticky climbing shoes - Night scopes Risk/Adventure pursuits are picking up in prominence: - Base hopping - Falls shooting - Mountain boarding -“Jet skiing” Traditional outside exercises still developing (reasonably); consumptive exercises declining; review/learning activities on the ascent.

Slide 23

TRENDS Almost 90 percent of Americans participated in Outdoor Recreation Walking, picnicking, touring, swimming, angling, & bicycling the most well known exercises 1980’s 97 percent partook List of interests getting longer, more assorted Walking, touring, swimming, picnicking, sailing most famous 1990’s

Slide 25

Activities Adding the Most Participants 16 or more seasoned, 1982-2002 Millions Growth No. in 2002 Walking 85.4 179.0 Bird watching 50.0 71.2 Hiking 48.4 73.1 Swimming/stream, lake, or ocean 36.4 92.9 Sightseeing 32.7 114.0 Picnicking 31.8 116.6 Bicycling 27.4 83.9 Developed camping 22.8 52.8 Motor drifting 17.8 51.4 Off-street driving 17.3 36.7

Slide 26

PARTICIPATION TRENDS IN THE UNITED STATES

Slide 27

PARTICIPATION TRENDS IN THE UNITED STATES

Slide 28

PARTICIPATION BY SETTING N.B. Preparatory information results for 2003

Slide 29

Regions Where Participants Reside

Slide 30

FASTEST GROWING SLOWEST GROWING Motor-sculling Primitive outdoors Sailing Visit notable locales Downhill skiing Snorkeling/scuba Visit shoreline/waterside Anadromous angling Caving Small diversion chase.. Transitory winged animal chasing Picnicking Warm-water angling Saltwater angling Swimming Kayaking Snowboarding Jet skiing View or photo fish Snow-mobiling Ice Fishing Sledding View untamed life Backpacking Day trekking Bicycling Horseback riding Canoeing Mountain climbing Coldwater angling Developed outdoors Drive rough terrain Rafting Walk for delight Surfing Visit nature focuses Visit curve. locales View flying creatures Family assembling

Slide 31

Forecasts Projected Demand to 2020 Millions Indexed % Change Participating (Base year is 1995) Activities (1995) People Days Trips Water-Based Going to the Beach 124 1.24 1.17 1.17 Motor Boating 47 1.21 1.14 1.16 Swimming 78 1.21 1.12 1.09 Fishing 58 1.17 1.17 1.10 Canoeing 14 1.15 1.28 1.14 Rafting/Floating 15 1.07 1.17 1.10 Winter-Based Cross-Country Skiing 6 1.26 0.96 1.12 Downhill Skiing 17 1.22 1.31 1.36 Snowmobiling 7 1.09 1.32 1.35 Forecasts

Slide 32

DEMOGRAPHIC FOOTPRINTS OF BOATERS

Slide 33

CANOERS 43% female, 57% male 87% non-Hispanic white 33% under 25, 77% under 45 Incomes $25K to $75K Under 80% urban Favored by Northeasterners & Midwesterners

Slide 34

KAYAKERS 44% female, 56% male 85% non-Hispanic white 60% under 35, 40% under 25 Over 1/3 win under $25K 85% urban Heavier investment in New England & Pacific Coast States

Slide 35

SAILERS 48% female, 52% male 84% Non-Hispanic white 44% under 35 Middle to high pay workers 87% urban Favored in the North-east

Slide 36

WINDSURFERS 67% male, 33% female half under 25, 56% under 35 1/3 between $25-$50K, 1/3 over $100K Northeast & Pacific Coast

Slide 37

MOTOR BOATERS 57% male, 43% female 52% between $25K & $75K 77% urban Favored in the Lake, Midwest & South Atlantic states 58 % between 25 & 55

Slide 38

WATER SKIERS 60% male, 40% female 86% white, 8% Hispanic 86% under 45 Favored by Prairie & Mountain states inhabitants

Slide 39

PERSONAL WATER CRAFT 54% male, 46% female 79% white, 11% Hispanic 66% under 35 Favored in the Midwest & South

Slide 40

Estimated proportions of rate of members to rate of aggregate populace for open air exercises by race & nation.

Slide 41

Estimated proportions of rate of members to rate of aggregate populace for open air exercises by age & wage.

Slide 42

BEING MORE EFFECTIVE IN OUTREACH, LISTENING, AND INFORMING

Slide 43

The Urban Beach Boys (3.8%) Young New England Wind Surfers (0.9%) The Inactives (22.0%) Segmenting for more compelling correspondence and instruction Nature Lovers (27.2%) The Noreaster Musclers (6.2%) The Thrill Seekers (8.3%) Hunt-n-Fish Men’s Motor Club (6.3%) The Take it Easies (25.3%)

Slide 44

Hunt-n-Fish Men’s Motor Club (6.3%) Hunt, fish, mechanized, camp, speedboat (53%), kayak Don’t take an interest in shoreline exercises or much in review/learning 88% male, 90% white, under 45, U.S. conceived, a great deal more provincial, Prairie & Southern Belong to untamed life protection gathering, read nature magazines, carpentry, possess a business, greenhouse, have pets & do home changes Humans were intended to manage over the earth & ecological emergency is misrepresented

Slide 45

The Urban Beach Boys (3.8%) Diving, Surfing, Snorkeling, Kayaking, Sailing , Backpacking, Snowboarding, Saltwater Fishing, Water Skiing , Jet Skiing . more dynamic than the vast majority in many exercises, with the exception of chasing 66% white, Asian/Pacific Islanders very much spoke to, lion's share under 35, U.S. conceived, & urban South Atlantic & Pacific Coast Regularly go to films, use web at home, take part in natural gatherings, contribute, & go to classes, included as an adolescent volunteer, into expressions of the human experience Feel people are manhandling the earth, we’re on a course for biological calamity &a